To make it into the Super 8s, after yesterday’s maundering of Bangladesh by Sri Lanka, India needs to beat Sri Lanka. Pure and simple.

Here are a few sample scenarios taken from

India versus Sri Lanka
Scenario 1 Sri Lanka bat first, score 260, and India win with one over to spare

Sri Lanka’s NRR will drop from 4.59 to 2.99, while India’s will drop marginally to 1.72.

Scenario 2 India bat first, score 265, and win by 2 runs

Sri Lanka’s NRR will be 2.98, while India’s will be 1.69.

For Bangladesh to then make it to the Super 8, they’ll need to go past India’s NRR. However, as the two scenarios below show, the gap between the two NRRs is just too large.

Bangladesh versus Bermuda
Scenario 1 Bangladesh score 300, and restrict Bermuda to 120 to win by 180 runs

Despite the huge margin of victory, Bangladesh’s NRR will only improve to -0.08.

Scenario 2 Bermuda are bundled out for 120, and Bangladesh wipe off the target in 15 overs

In this case, due to the fact that Bangladesh will only bat 15 overs, their NRR will only increase to -0.7.